Installation of deep modular shelters to ensure the protection of the population of Ukraine

Sector

Municipal infrastructure and services

Stream

Development and rehabilitation of municipal infrastructure of subnational governments

Entry into Portfolio

State level of SPP

Maturity level

48

General Information

Program Description

The program aims to mass-promote the deployment of certified modular underground shelters in frontline and vulnerable communities in Ukraine to provide immediate protection to civilians, including children. Given the constant threat of rocket and artillery strikes, communities need fast, effective, and affordable solutions to create a safe environment. Modular shelters are industrially manufactured, transported to site, and installed in up to 2 weeks, which is significantly more efficient than traditional construction solutions that take up to 36 months. The program provides for centralized procurement coordination, support for domestic production, and the use of expedited delivery procedures.

The program plans to install 3,200 modular shelters in 160 communities.

Strategic Case

Program Goal

Main Goal: Modernization to comply with current standards
Secondary Goal: Meeting growing demand, Expanding access to goods and services, Development of new territories or functions, Improvement of infrastructure condition, Modernization to comply with current standards, Reconstruction of damaged/destroyed assets, Creation of new jobs through project implementation, Improving fairness in resource distribution, Emergence of new production capacities, Ensuring inclusiveness and equal opportunities, Contribution to climate or environmental goals, Creation of new facilities and services, Improvement of service quality, Expansion of capacities, Implementation of innovations and energy-efficient solutions
Problems: Due to constant rocket strikes and shelling, residents of frontline areas do not have proper protection. In areas located within 30 km from the line of attack, the time of arrival of a rocket is up to 3 minutes, so classic construction solutions do not meet the urgency of the challenges. There are over 14,000 general secondary and preschool education institutions in Ukraine, of which at least 30% do not have either a regular shelter or an adapted room for staying during an air raid. In frontline regions, this figure is even higher: up to 50-70% of institutions cannot ensure the safety of children during air threats. In areas located within 30 km from the line of attack, the time of arrival of a rocket is up to 3 minutes, so classic construction solutions do not meet the urgency of the challenges. The existing shelter system in Ukraine is fragmented, morally and physically outdated, and does not allow for a basic level of protection for the population in conditions of regular attacks, especially in border and frontline regions. The introduction of modular deep shelters is not only a response to the lack of protective structures, but also a new infrastructure model that will allow for a prompt, standardized, and scalable solution to the problem of population security in conditions of full-scale war.

Strategic Relevance of the Program

Sector
Municipal infrastructure and services
Subsector
Development and Reconstruction of Subnational Infrastructure
Stream
Development and rehabilitation of municipal infrastructure of subnational governments
Strategic Document
State Strategy for Regional Development for 2021–2027
Task
Завдання 2 за напрямом “Стимулювання розвитку територій” Оперативної цілі 1. Забезпечення інтегрованого розвитку територій з урахуванням інтересів майбутніх поколінь Development and rehabilitation of municipal infrastructure of subnational governments

Program Objectives

Indicator
Baseline Value
Target Value

Number of shelters installed in educational institutions

0 units

2000 units

Number of installed modular shelters

0 units

3200 units

Share of procurements carried out through framework agreements

0 %

80 %

Number of jobs created within the framework of the program implementation

0 human

2400 human

Time to set up one shelter

26 month

0.5 month

Share of shelters with autonomous energy supply

0 %

100 %

Reducing the proportion of students who do not have access to offline learning

30 %

10 %

Programme Sustainable Development Goals

Economic Case

Economic feasibility of the program

What are the main benefits expected from the implementation of the program for the economy, business, society, or individual industries?

Improving energy efficiency
Other benefits
Improving business conditions
Increasing employment levels, creating new jobs
Growth in production, market volumes of goods/services/investments
Reducing regional imbalances
Infrastructure development
Improving the quality of life of the population
Increase in budget revenues

Does the program objective provide for a contribution to the climate goal of mitigating the effects of climate change?

Reducing or avoiding greenhouse gas emissions
Reducing the use of fuel and energy resources

Does the program objective provide a contribution to the climate change adaptation objective: reducing the impact and/or reducing the vulnerability of an asset or population to one or more types of physical climate hazards?

Wind-related threats (change in wind regime; cyclone, hurricane, typhoon; storm, including blizzards, dust and sandstorms; tornado)
Threats associated with solid masses (coastal erosion; soil degradation; soil erosion; solifluction; avalanche; landslide; subsidence)
Temperature-related threats (changes in air, fresh water, seawater temperatures; heat stress; temperature fluctuations; heat waves; frost; forest fire)
Threats related to water resources (changes in the structure and types of precipitation (rain, hail, snow/ice); precipitation or hydrological variability; saltwater intrusion; sea level rise; water stress; drought, heavy precipitation (rain, hail, snow/ice); floods (coastal, river, pluvial, groundwater).

Does the programme objective provide for a contribution to the climate objective of sustainable use and protection of water and marine resources?

Increasing the efficiency of water resources use

Does the program objective provide for a contribution to the climate goal of transitioning to a circular economy?

Increasing the use of by-products and secondary raw materials, including by increasing the recyclability of products or waste
Reducing the content of hazardous substances and replacing substances of particular environmental concern in materials and products throughout their life cycle
Minimizing incineration and avoiding landfilling of waste
Reducing the use of primary raw materials
Preventing or reducing waste generation

Does the programme objective provide for a contribution to the climate objective of pollution prevention and control?

Preventing or reducing emissions of pollutants into air, water or soil
Improving air, water or soil quality
Preventing or minimizing the negative impacts of the production, use or disposal of chemicals

Does the program objective provide for a contribution to the climate goal of protecting and restoring biodiversity and ecosystems?

Nature conservation and biodiversity
Sustainable land use and management of land resources

What social consequences are relevant for your program, after its implementation?

Enhancing public participation
Increasing employment levels
Improving living conditions
Improving access to basic services
Reducing social inequality

Why is it advisable to implement projects in the format of one comprehensive program, and not separately?

Strengthening the overall impact through the interaction of individual projects within the program
Ability to simultaneously cover several interrelated aspects of a problem and ensure a systematic approach
Cost reduction through pooling of resources and centralized management
Implementing activities within a common or adjacent territory to achieve a more effective result
Ensuring coordinated planning, management and monitoring of projects within a single structure
The need to comply with legal requirements, government strategies or policies

How will the program help strengthen other economic processes or reforms?

Optimization of logistics or production chains
Promoting the development of related sectors of the economy
Support for the implementation of state or sectoral reforms
Deepening integration into international economic processes
Stimulating digitalization and innovation

Program Components

Financial justification

Total estimated program cost

16'950'000'000 UAH

Estimated cost of program components

14'124'999'966,67 UAH

Component

Amount

Technical supervision and quality control

80'000'000 UAH

Design and typification of shelters

62'500'000 UAH

Communication campaign and community education

15'833'333,33 UAH

Installation, connection to networks, landscaping

1'866'666'666,67 UAH

Program management, monitoring, administrative support

100'000'000 UAH

Logistics and delivery

266'666'666,67 UAH

Shelter production

11'733'333'300 UAH

Additional expenses related to program preparation and implementation

2'825'000'033,33 UAH

Implementation costs

Year
Amount

1

2'825'000'033,33 UAH

Cost justification

Short description

Justification document

n/a

rationale.pdf

Sources and mechanisms of financial support for the implementation of programs.

Status
Funding mechanisms
Coverage, %

Investment

Non-repayable financing. Direct budget financing. Direct expenditures from the state budget (public procurement).

100%

Justification document
To the documents
What potential funding sources can be mobilized on the basis of prior agreements or intentions to cooperate (if any)

The program is financed from state and local budgets, international aid, as well as private investments and partnerships. Funds are allocated through transparent tenders, ensuring efficient use of resources.

Management Case

Total program duration (months): 1

Approaches to project selection

Have approaches and criteria been defined for including public investment projects in the program, initiators of such projects, and their prioritization?

Yes

Organizational Measures

Installation of shelters, landscaping, connection to networks

5 months

Organizational preparation, project approval, procurement planning, launching procedures

3 months

Production of shelters, preparation of sites, start of deliveries and installation

3 months

Commissioning of facilities, evaluation of results, reporting

1 months

Risk Assessment

Risk

Probability

Degree

Strategy

Risk

Logistical difficulties may affect production and delivery times for shelters

Probability

Low

Degree

Considerable

Strategy

Avoidance

Risk

Late receipt of funding

Probability

Medium

Degree

Critical

Strategy

Avoidance

Risk

Rising costs of construction resources may lead to budget overruns

Probability

Medium

Degree

Considerable

Strategy

Avoidance

Risk

Active hostilities may complicate or suspend implementation in certain regions

Probability

High

Degree

Critical

Strategy

Avoidance

Program Approval History

DateDecision NumberPortfolioProgram StatusDecisionReasonsMaturity level
20/08/2025SP-N-200825-C83DD2F6State SPPreparationInclude--
01/10/2025SPP-N-011025-05945E11State SPPPreparationInclude-48