26/02/2025

RDNA4: The updated report on Ukraine's recovery needs

According to the report undertaken jointly by the World Bank Group, the Government of Ukraine, the European Commission, and the United Nations, with support from other partners, Ukraine's recovery needs have reached $524 billion.

These data were presented during an event attended by the Prime Minister of Ukraine, members of the Government, representatives of diplomatic missions, and international partners.

Deputy Prime Minister for Restoration of Ukraine and Minister for Development of Communities and Territories Oleksiі Kuleba, and the World Bank Regional Country Director for Eastern Europe Bob Saum, presented updated data from the fourth and the most comprehensive Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA4) report on Ukraine's damage caused by the large-scale russian invasion.

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The report covers the period from February 2022 to December 2024. The RDNA4 estimates that direct damage and losses to Ukraine's infrastructure are currently around $176 billion, an increase of $24 billion since the previous report (RDNA3).

The most affected sectors are housing - 33% of the total damage, transportation - 21%, energy and mining - 12%, and trade and industry - 10%. In the energy sector, the number of damaged or destroyed assets increased by 93%, including electricity generation, transmission, and distribution infrastructure. 72% of all damages fell to the Donetsk, Kharkiv, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Kyiv regions.

According to Ukraine's Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, considering the enormous losses, reconstruction should become a global project. Reconstruction is based on the key principle of Build Back Better, which means implementing the modern standards of safety, energy efficiency, accessibility, inclusiveness, and environmental friendliness. 

- The restoration must start now. It affects the quality of life of millions of people, the prospects for the return of Ukrainians from abroad, and the creation of growth points that will move our economy forward. The report already identifies 348 priority projects totaling $17 billion, and 127 projects worth $7 billion have partial or full funding. I am grateful to the World Bank for a thorough and high-quality assessment of Ukraine's damage and needs. Its results will serve as the basis for recovery planning for the near future, - Denys Shmyhal emphasized.

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In 2025, nine sectors will be prioritized for Ukraine's recovery. The top priorities are:

  • Housing
  • Energy
  • Transport
  • Water supply
  • Health care
  • Social protection

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RDNA 4 is a comprehensive tool for assessing damage, losses, and needs, a crucial basis for further planning for Ukraine's recovery and reconstruction.

- The Government is developing a sustainable system to ensure the effectiveness of these processes. We also continue to create digital tools for a comprehensive digital ecosystem to prepare, evaluate, and implement public investment projects.
Attracting private capital remains an important factor. According to preliminary estimates, investment can cover at least a third of the total needs. The restoration of Ukraine is about people, security, returning Ukrainians home, creating economic growth points, and community development. We clearly understand the challenges and are working on solutions that will ensure effective recovery and development, -  Deputy Prime Minister Oleksii Kuleba said.

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The Deputy Prime Minister emphasized that priority state investment projects from the Single Project Pipeline (SPP) are the basis for meeting the recovery needs 2025. It is also essential to include Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) in the recovery process as additional sources of financing and accelerating economic growth.

The RDNA4 report will become a basis for recovery planning in Ukraine. The detailed report is available here.

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